Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.021543 0.023130 0.024783 0.026633 0.028649 0.030780 0.033208
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.018632 0.020882 0.023345 0.026249 0.029590 0.033325 0.037833
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.016793 0.019433 0.022434 0.026116 0.030533 0.035692 0.042214
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.015300 0.018160 0.021511 0.025754 0.031024 0.037403 0.045786
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.014313 0.017362 0.021030 0.025804 0.031915 0.039552 0.049942
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.013316 0.016454 0.020314 0.025461 0.032222 0.040912 0.053102
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.012393 0.015564 0.019541 0.024957 0.032240 0.041838 0.055683
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.011698 0.014914 0.019020 0.024724 0.032565 0.043146 0.058819
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.011077 0.014317 0.018524 0.024475 0.032823 0.044341 0.061836
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.010417 0.013629 0.017860 0.023945 0.032639 0.044877 0.063894
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.010090 0.013370 0.017758 0.024176 0.033524 0.046967 0.068372
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.009709 0.013013 0.017496 0.024157 0.034033 0.048518 0.072111
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009446 0.012812 0.017445 0.024442 0.035010 0.050833 0.077233
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.009024 0.012365 0.017024 0.024158 0.035109 0.051808 0.080269
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008687 0.012024 0.016735 0.024051 0.035463 0.053186 0.084047
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008312 0.011610 0.016319 0.023726 0.035453 0.053970 0.086862
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.008066 0.011374 0.016154 0.023772 0.036022 0.055712 0.091433
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.007740 0.011006 0.015772 0.023460 0.035992 0.056455 0.094283
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.007397 0.010598 0.015314 0.023003 0.035696 0.056725 0.096286
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.007137 0.010306 0.015020 0.022791 0.035791 0.057656 0.099555
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.006889 0.010022 0.014726 0.022565 0.035843 0.058508 0.102723
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.006594 0.009655 0.014289 0.022084 0.035435 0.058520 0.104275
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.006475 0.009558 0.014272 0.022293 0.036224 0.060705 0.110203